Will Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?

Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $179K traded.

Expected settlement: 2026-10-31.

Buy prices at last build

  • November 30: Polymarket 49¢

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Settlement rules

Polymarket: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the East-West oil pipeline is targeted by a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Riyadh Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The East-West oil pipeline refers to Saudi Arabia’s East-West crude oil pipeline (also known as Petroline), which carries crude oil from Saudi Arabia’s Eastern Province to the Red Sea port of Yanbu, including its pumping stations. A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike that impacts the East-West oil pipeline. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile stri…

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