Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Elections category with $4.2M traded.
Expected settlement: 2026-11-04.
Buy prices at last build
- Kalshi 26¢ · Polymarket 24¢
Confirmed cross-platform price gap: 2¢ (identical market on both platforms).
Prices are buy prices on each platform when this page was built; open the page in a browser for live prices.
Settlement rules
Kalshi: If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California passes, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket: A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to…