Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $483K traded.
Expected settlement: 2027-01-01.
Buy prices at last build
- Polymarket 10¢
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Settlement rules
Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a…