Will Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?

Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $105K traded.

Expected settlement: 2026-11-01.

Buy prices at last build

  • December 31, 2026: Polymarket 15¢

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Settlement rules

Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Yes" if active military personnel officially affiliated with Saudi Arabia enter Yemen for combat-related military purposes by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, they must be 1) officially acknowledged as active military by Saudi Arabia; 2) be publicly acknowledged to have entered Yemen for a combat-related military purpose. For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution they need be active duty and acknowledged as described above. Participation in a combat role is necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes" (e.g. military personnel providing tra…

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