Will IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?

Prediction market tracked on Prediction Pantheon in the Politics category with $251K traded.

Expected settlement: 2026-11-01.

Buy prices at last build

  • December 31: Polymarket 15¢

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Settlement rules

Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or vir…

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